Predicting the 91st Academy Awards, Part One

By Livia Peterson

Today is the day we’ve all anticipated, the Oscar Sunday! Alfonso Cuaron’s Roma is poised to be the favorite among the nominees even though one is able to stream the film via Netflix. The Academy tends to awards films honoring motion picture history (e.g. The Artist, Argo) and supports the theatrical experience. Thus, if Roma indeed wins Best Picture, awards season will be changed forever as in the Academy is essentially supporting streaming services with this win. Green Book may upset since it is a feel good film and enjoyed a theatrical run. If there isn’t a consensus, The Favourite could win by a long shot.

Glenn Close, The Wife and Olivia Colman, The Favourite are battling a two horse race. Yet, Ms. Close is overdue and will win accordingly. Regina King is sublime in If Beale Street Could Talk and yet, Rachel Weisz is equally stunning in The Favourite. Ms. King is the front runner, but don’t be surprised if Ms. Weisz pulls of an upset.

Roma may likely receive the Best Picture AND Best Foreign Language Film Academy Awards. Yet, Cold War deserves to win the Best Foreign Language Academy Awards, as it is a transcendent love story in black and white and reminds us how magical cinema is even though it is exhibited digitally. As many films are presented digitally, it is essential for the current films to remind us why motion pictures exist and film history.

Best Picture

  • Predicted Winner: Roma

  • Preferred Winner: The Favourite

  • Could Win: Green Book

  • A Star is Born

  • Black Panther

  • BlacKkKlansman

  • Bohemian Rhapsody

  • The Favourite

  • Vice

Best Director

  • Predicted Winner: Alfonso Cuarón, Roma

  • Preferred Winner: Pawel Pawlikowski, Cold War

  • Could Win: Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman

  • Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite

  • Adam McKay, Vice

Best Actress

  • Predicted Winner: Glenn Close, The Wife

  • Preferred Winner: Olivia Colman, The Favourite

  • Could Win: Olivia Colman, The Favourite

  • Yaltiza Aparicio, Roma

  • Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born

  • Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Best Supporting Actress

  • Predicted Winner: Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

  • Preferred Winner: Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

  • Could Win: Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

  • Amy Adams, Vice

  • Marina de Tavira, Roma

  • Emma Stone, The Favourite

Best Actor

  • Predicted Winner: Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody

  • Preferred Winner: Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born

  • Could Win: Christian Bale, Vice

  • Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate

  • Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

Best Supporting Actor

  • Predicted Winner: Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

  • Preferred Winner: Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born

  • Could Win: Mahershala Ali, Green Book

  • Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman

  • Sam Rockwell, Vice

Best Original Screenplay

  • Predicted Winner: The Favourite

  • Preferred Winner: The Favourite

  • Could Win: Roma

  • First Reformed

  • Green Book

  • Vice

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Predicted Winner: If Beale Street Could Talk

  • Preferred Winner: If Beale Street Could Talk

  • Could Win: BlacKkKlansman

  • The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

  • Can You Ever Forgive Me?

  • A Star Is Born

Best Animated Feature

  • Predicted Winner: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

  • Preferred Winner: Isle of Dogs

  • Could Win: Isle of Dogs

  • Incredibles 2

  • Mirai

  • Ralph Breaks the Internet

Best Documentary Feature

  • Predicted Winner: RBG

  • Could Win: Free Solo

  • Hale County This Morning, This Evening

  • Minding the Gap

  • Of Fathers and Sons

Best Foreign Language Film

  • Predicted Winner: Roma

  • Preferred Winner: Cold War

  • Could Win: Cold War

  • Capernaum

  • Never Look Away

  • Shoplifters

Predicting the 91st Academy Awards, Part Two

The 91st Academy Awards: Nominated Animation Short Films

The 91st Academy Awards: Nominated Animation Short Films